Why Generation Y fears the stock market
Commentary: Coming of age amid two crashes, you would too
By J.J. Zhang who is a chemical engineer and amateur
financial adviser who was the winner in MarketWatch’s second annual World’s
Next Great Investing Columnist contest. He runs the blog MarketTech Reports. You can
follow him on Twitter @MarketTechRpts .
One of the
largest transfers of wealth between generations is starting to occur in the U.S. As baby
boomers enter the retirement phase, the next generation of workers, Gen Y or
the Millennials (those born in the 1980s and 1990s), are now entering the
workforce and beginning their prime earnings
Generation Y fears the stock market, the result of coming of age during
several major financial crises.
According to
research group CEB Iconoculture, Gen Y comprises over 76 million people with
almost $900 billion in spending power. In contrast the baby boomers, also
numbering 76 million, have $2.5 trillion in spending power.
However, for this
new generation, it’s a very different world than the one seen by their parents.
The baby boomers saw the rise of the U.S. into the world’s only
superpower and all the accompanying economic growth and rewards that came with
it.
They reaped the
rewards of the chemical revolution, the golden age of manufacturing, the computer
revolution, the information age, energy abundance and globalization. They also
juiced growth via the use of debt which turned the U.S. into today’s debtor nation.
In contrast, the
future outlook for Gen Y is that of a nearly bankrupt nation, rising global
competition from emerging countries, crumbling infrastructure and insolvent
retirement and welfare programs, among others ills. For this generation,
financial security is a fragile hope due to high educational debts, stagnant
upward social mobility and poor employment prospects.
For Gen Y, it
becomes even more important to start retirement planning early as government
Social Security guarantees, employment security and wage-growth prospects will
not be what their parents experienced.
Posttraumatic stock syndrome
However, this
generation has also suffered through several financially traumatic experiences
that have and are continuing to shape its investing views.
Baby boomers saw
a relatively stable and strong growth period during the ‘50-’70s which
influenced their long-term belief in market returns. In contrast, Gen Y adults
experienced two major bubbles and recessions and high volatility, which have
led to one lost decade already.
Indeed, the early
vanguard of the Gen Y’ers joined the real world only to experience the dot-com
crash. They subsequently started investing in their mid 20s only to find the
housing bubble and the subsequent great recession. The first impression is the
most important and so far it doesn’t look promising.
This lack of tangible
gains, roller-coaster volatility and recent scandals such as the bank bailouts,
mortgage shenanigans, Ponzi schemes and scandals like Goldman’s
designed-to-fail securities, have all made them cynical and distrusting of the
stock market and investing in general.
This isn’t
hypothetical. In a recent MFS Survey, 40% of Gen Y agreed with the statement “I
will never feel comfortable investing in the stock market.” Among Gen Y
investors, 54% feel overwhelmed by available choices and 47% tended to put off
investment decisions.
Due to fear of
risk, 30% said their primary investing objective is protecting principal and
have allocated an average of 30% to cash, more than other age groups, and
nearly equal to the 33% allocated to stocks. T. Rowe Price noted in 2010 that
almost one in five self-directed participants age 25-35 had over 80% of plan
assets in cash.
While protecting
principal is no doubt important, excessive risk aversion does not lend well to
long-term investing: after all, no pain, no gain. With 54% of Gen Y concerned
about when they would be able to retire and 44% lowering their retirement
expectations, they need to put aside their fears and tiptoe back into the
markets.
What can Gen y’ers do?
Though these
psychological traumas have already influenced Gen Y actions, luckily time and
youth is on their side. With the first wave still in their early 30s, there’s
still plenty of time to start and let compound investing work for them.
The important
first step is learning to let go of their fear of the market, or at least
reduce it to a healthy level. Yes, the stock market can be a scary place
sometimes but there are precious few ways to generate returns significantly
above inflation that is necessary for a Social Security-less future.
Notably, high
volatility and risk averseness has caused Gen Y to make more use of financial
advisers and other experts. Especially for those concerned about market
volatility and risk, seeking a financial adviser to help them tiptoe into
investing is a good idea.
However, it’s
particularly important that one find a good and trustworthy adviser — those
with fiduciary duty is a must. While advisers do charge fees that can undermine
returns, in this case it’s still a net positive over the high cash many Gen
Y’ers are holding.
And keep in mind;
advisers are not a lifetime commitment. There’s nothing wrong with learning
from them and then striking out for yourself.
One trait of
Millennials is their considerable sophistication in finding information and
learning for themselves. The widespread availability of financial products and
services such as ETFs, online discount brokerages, instant financial info like
real time quotes and new tools such as computer-aided rebalancing have given
then all the help needed to create a well-rounded and diversified portfolio
ready for the long term.
It may be we’ll
look back from the future and call this the Generation DIY.
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